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IMS: LEDs continue to overshadow A-Lamps

09 Jan 2013

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In the IMS Research report called "The World Market for Lamps & Luminaires in General Lighting" report, the firm has provided valuable insight into the dynamics of the $27 billion lighting market.

IMS Research Senior Analyst Philip Smallwood states that "LEDs have changed the lamp world for good. The apparent global effort (see chart below) to phase out most incandescent A-lamps by either banning them or introducing minimal energy efficient standards is opening up the market in a way that would not have been possible in the past."


IMS lighting market study

Figure:1


The effect that the mass adoption of LED lamps will have on the market is twofold:

1. As revenue, it will increase. Lamp market value is expected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31 per cent from 2011 through 2015. This is due to the extreme differences of LED lamp prices vs. incumbent technologies.

2. As units, it will decrease. A-lamp shipments for all technologies are forecasted to have a CAGR of -11 per cent from 2011 through 2020 (See figure below).


IMS lighting market study

Figure:2


Regarding the reduction in the units, Smallwood further explained that "The long life of LED lamps (25,000 hours vs. 1,000 hours for incandescent) will create a "socket saturation" effect, where each LED installation will effectively decrease the replacement lamp market by one unit. While regional differences due to light preferences and consumer purchasing power will slow down the adoption of LEDs, it is predicted that this overall shrinking pattern will continue through 2020."

For more information, visit http://www.ledmarketresearch.com/report/Lighting_World_2012.




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