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Global market for packaged LEDs to hit $7.1B in 2016

17 Oct 2013

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A report from IHS has estimated that the global market for packaged LEDs for lighting will likely double in three years. LEDs will see a 96 per cent growth in packaged revenue in the market from 2013 through 2016. The report projects that global revenue for LEDs will increase from $3.6 billion in 2013 to $7.1 billion in 2016. The lighting market is set to provide the next wave of growth for packaged LEDs.

"As retail prices for LED lamps have fallen, it's become more obvious that they are an attractive alternative to conventional light bulbs, providing long-term savings in energy and replacement costs," said Stewart Shinkwin, market analyst, lighting and LEDs, for IHS. "Because of this, shipments of LED lamps for lighting are set to increase dramatically in the coming years, rising to 2.4 billion units in 2016, up from 520 million in 2013. The rapid expansion of the lighting market will come as a major boon to suppliers of packaged LEDs, which are seeking the next growth opportunity following the slowdown of the backlighting business."

In 2012, the lighting sector became the largest end application for the packaged LED market, having finally overtaken the TV backlighting market. Market saturation for LED backlighting has resulted in a number of leading suppliers shifting their focus and development resources towards the lighting industry.

Along with opportunity, the projected growth in LED lamps will result in intensified competition among suppliers vying to capture market share. This competition will continue to further drive down prices. IHS forecasts average selling prices for packaged LEDs in lighting to fall to $0.19 in 2018, down from $0.25 in 2016 and $0.41 in 2013.

The price erosion, in turn, will reduce the consumer payback period for LEDs, helping to increase adoption. However, declining profit margins will be undesirable for suppliers.

LED lamp penetration is already significant in a number of lighting applications such as the retail and hospitality sectors. However, it is the residential sector that IHS forecasts will provide the largest opportunity for packaged LEDs.

Packaged LED revenue in the residential sector is forecast to grow to nearly $2.7 billion in 2016, up from an estimated $850 million in 2013. Manufacturers that carve out share early on in this market could garner significant returns as the market booms.




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